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As cell and gene therapies rise, so too does outsourcing
June 13, 2019
By: Ben Locwin
Contributing Editor, Contract Pharma
Cell and gene therapies are representing the future of medical treatments for (in some cases) diseases and disorders which had no previous viable therapeutic avenue. To some degree, a look across the landscape of cell and gene therapies today resembles a look back at the early biotech landscape, circa 1990s. With new therapies comes the need for new technologies and approaches, and so externalizing some of the risks and drawing upon outside expertise can be tremendously helpful. Cell therapy and gene therapy Don’t be confused. These two names for different types of therapy are often used interchangeably, and mentioned together in the same sentence as though they’re requisite partners. They are two (very) different modalities. Cell therapy A treatment approach where live cells are administered in order to provoke a particular physiological effect. It’s interesting, because there’s also a lot of people in the field who refer to the work of Swiss doctor Paul Niehans as the progenitor of cell therapy. He might have been one of the first to doggedly pursue injection of living cells into people, but there was really no evidence of efficacy for any of the experiments that he did. One of which was to inject live parathyroid cells into a tetany patient whose parathyroid gland had been removed. It’s unlikely that this really resolved the condition in the long run, but history is favorable to Niehans. Gene therapy A treatment approach where nucleic acid is delivered to patients’ cells as a precise, targeted approach to modifying genetic expression; it’s used as a drug to elicit physiological effects for the abatement of health conditions. There’s a bit of a messy pedigree within gene therapy, because even organ and bone marrow transplants have been found to introduce foreign DNA to patients and therefore could be a form of gene therapy. But the vision of gene therapy is to have the field focus on the ‘precise and targeted’ genetic changes, and not just the introduction or inclusion of uncontrolled genetic material and information into patients. Risks Any time we introduce cells, genetic material, or attempt to modify genes, we run into several very serious and salient risks. Immunogenicity, off-target sequelae, physiological compensatory mechanisms, and other unintended consequences are part of these treatments. Unfortunately, the public is ill-equipped to assess or understand risk, let alone risks like these from novel and nascent medical therapies. As you read this, the FDA, Wall Street, and small segments of the general public are watching with great interest the fate of the drug Zolgensma. It’s a one-time treatment for spinal muscular atrophy (SMA), and a patient has recently died potentially as a result of the therapy. It’s an unfortunate position for AveXis Inc. and Novartis, who have developed this treatment. Unfortunate because we never want events like these to be linked in a clinical trial to a prospective drug treatment, but also because the overall risk:benefit calculus shouldn’t be so myopic as to potentially halt a therapy as a result of a single death. There’s more to the situation than this, but any treatment carries risks with it—up to and including death. We also need to advocate for good science in the face of public misperception and potential fear mongering. A lot on the horizon, but what changes in the landscape? I’ll say here that cost models abound—I’ve even seen valuations up to, and including, a market volume of $1 trillion for CAR-T (a type of cell therapy) by the year 2030. For the entire cell and gene therapies markets, even greater. Of course, all models are wrong, but they can give us some directionality to our thinking and forecasting for the future.* In some current cohorts, there’s about a 3-5 year time horizon until the cell or gene therapies make it to market. Many at the moment are for different types of cancers, with a lot of attention on hematological malignancies such as acute myelogenous leukemia, chronic lymphocytic leukemia, and myelodysplastic syndrome. Solid cancers have been garnering more attention for treatments over the past few years, yet treating these types of malignancies comes with its own challenges. The case for outsourcing The need for trained staff, reasonable labor costs, precision manufacturing facility infrastructure, and a favorable regulatory landscape are four major factors shaping what the future of cell and gene therapies will look like. These aren’t just implicit factors that exist regardless of how we progress to the future of these treatments. These factors are instead tremendously high-leverage variables that will themselves partly shape and create the future of these treatments. One thing we know based on the trajectory of medicine over the last several decades: cell therapy and gene therapy treatments will not be inexpensive, they differ from current standards-of-care, and this also means that their growing presence will usher in a new era of discussions with payers, patients, prescribers, and within the financial markets. Where we land with their usability (utility), financial viability, and the place that they will occupy in our future zeitgeist are all yet to be determined. Chart 1 shows the relative competitive landscape for gene therapy treatments, where the red end of the spectrum is where competition is high for a particular disease, and the blue end represents where competition is relatively low.1
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