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A viable business model?
January 22, 2014
By: Enrico Polastro
The pharmaceutical product creation process — defined as covering the discovery up to the commercial scale supply of a NTE (New Therapeutic Entity) — is one of the most complex endeavors undertaken by man. It involves the daunting task of effectively conducting — either in parallel or sequentially — and combining in a seamless way a large number of modules requiring a diverse set of activities and steps. A major complicating factor and challenge is represented by the extremely diverse array of skills and bodies of competences required to perform these tasks — some at the leading edge of science while others are fairly routine. The execution of these various tasks is handled by different people, most often organized in distinct departments. This multiplies the number of interfaces and hand-over steps, bringing a corollary risk of delays and recycling. Additional issues are associated with the long timelines for development, spanning several years, and the massive resources (be they financial or in human talent), regulatory and ethical requirements intrinsic to the pharma industry that contribute extra layers of complexity. The risk of failure or setbacks is substantial, reflected in the major attrition rates characterizing pharma R&D, as well as the delays encountered by an increasing number of companies in the development and launch of new products. Within this framework, a distinction needs to be made between two types of risks: Exogenous — These risks are intrinsic to every new product creation process, and largely outside the developer’s own span of control. Examples include unforeseen problems associated with the pharmacological or pharmacodynamic properties of the NTE that can be found out only through testing and experimentation. Sometimes these only come up in late-phase clinical trials involving large patient cohorts. Endogenous — These risk are associated with factors that are within the span of control of the developer and hence can be controlled and effectively managed. Examples of endogenous risks are legion in the pharma industry; they include:
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